What counts as a "Hit"?
QB
Top 12 finish
RB
Top 15 finish
WR
Top 24 finish
TE
Top 12 finish
Round 1
Premium Picks
1.01
RB
Jeremiyah Love
Notre Dame
72
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Derrick Henry, Christian McCaffrey, Todd Gurley +2
Busts:
Jonathon Brooks, Javonte Williams, Cam Akers +2
33
RBs drafted 1.01-1.06
24
became starters
9
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting RBs at this range.
RB1, Saquon comp, 35+ TDs since 2024
1.02
WR
Jordyn Tyson
Arizona State
68
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Mike Evans, Brandin Cooks, Amari Cooper +2
Busts:
Rome Odunze, Quentin Johnston, Jameson Williams +2
32
WRs drafted 1.01-1.06
22
became starters
10
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting WRs at this range.
WR1, elite athleticism, alpha potential
1.03
WR
Makai Lemon
USC
68
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Mike Evans, Brandin Cooks, Amari Cooper +2
Busts:
Rome Odunze, Quentin Johnston, Jameson Williams +2
32
WRs drafted 1.01-1.06
22
became starters
10
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting WRs at this range.
Biletnikoff winner, elite slot
1.04
WR
Carnell Tate
Ohio State
68
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Mike Evans, Brandin Cooks, Amari Cooper +2
Busts:
Rome Odunze, Quentin Johnston, Jameson Williams +2
32
WRs drafted 1.01-1.06
22
became starters
10
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting WRs at this range.
Deep threat, big play ability
1.05
WR
Denzel Boston
Washington
68
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Mike Evans, Brandin Cooks, Amari Cooper +2
Busts:
Rome Odunze, Quentin Johnston, Jameson Williams +2
32
WRs drafted 1.01-1.06
22
became starters
10
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting WRs at this range.
20 TDs last 2 years, X-receiver
1.06
RB
Jonah Coleman
Washington
72
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Derrick Henry, Christian McCaffrey, Todd Gurley +2
Busts:
Jonathon Brooks, Javonte Williams, Cam Akers +2
33
RBs drafted 1.01-1.06
24
became starters
9
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting RBs at this range.
RB2, one-cut style, reliable
1.07
RB
Jadarian Price
Notre Dame
57
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Alvin Kamara, Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt +2
Busts:
Blake Corum, Trey Benson, Zach Charbonnet +2
14
RBs drafted 1.07-1.12
8
became starters
6
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
Moderate Risk
Mixed results. Some hits, but significant bust potential.
RB3, explosive change of pace
1.08
WR
KC Concepcion
Texas A&M
55
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Davante Adams, Odell Beckham Jr, Michael Thomas +2
Busts:
Xavier Worthy, Keon Coleman, Jahan Dotson +2
34
WRs drafted 1.07-1.12
19
became starters
15
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
Moderate Risk
Mixed results. Some hits, but significant bust potential.
Versatile slot, YAC ability
1.09
TE
Kenyon Sadiq
Oregon
60
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
T.J. Hockenson, Evan Engram, David Njoku
Busts:
Noah Fant, O.J. Howard
5
TEs drafted 1.07-1.12
3
became starters
2
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting TEs at this range.
TE1, elite athleticism
1.10
RB
Emmett Johnson
Nebraska
57
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Alvin Kamara, Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt +2
Busts:
Blake Corum, Trey Benson, Zach Charbonnet +2
14
RBs drafted 1.07-1.12
8
became starters
6
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
Moderate Risk
Mixed results. Some hits, but significant bust potential.
RB4, workhorse profile
1.11
RB
Justice Haynes
Michigan
57
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Alvin Kamara, Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt +2
Busts:
Blake Corum, Trey Benson, Zach Charbonnet +2
14
RBs drafted 1.07-1.12
8
became starters
6
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
Moderate Risk
Mixed results. Some hits, but significant bust potential.
RB5, physical runner
1.12
QB
Fernando Mendoza
Indiana
27
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Lamar Jackson, Jordan Love, Bo Nix
Busts:
J.J. McCarthy, Michael Penix Jr, Will Levis +2
11
QBs drafted 1.07-1.12
3
became starters
8
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
High Risk
Most QBs drafted here have failed.
Heisman winner, elite efficiency
Round 2
Decreasing Value
2.01
WR
Chris Brazzell
Tennessee
33
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Allen Robinson, Michael Pittman Jr
Busts:
Jonathan Mingo, Jalin Hyatt, Skyy Moore +1
6
WRs drafted 2.01-2.06
2
became starters
4
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
High Risk
Most WRs drafted here have failed.
SEC production, contested catches
2.02
WR
Ja'Kobi Lane
USC
33
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Allen Robinson, Michael Pittman Jr
Busts:
Jonathan Mingo, Jalin Hyatt, Skyy Moore +1
6
WRs drafted 2.01-2.06
2
became starters
4
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
High Risk
Most WRs drafted here have failed.
Physical receiver, red zone threat
2.03
WR
Omar Cooper Jr.
Indiana
33
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Allen Robinson, Michael Pittman Jr
Busts:
Jonathan Mingo, Jalin Hyatt, Skyy Moore +1
6
WRs drafted 2.01-2.06
2
became starters
4
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
High Risk
Most WRs drafted here have failed.
Breakout star, route runner
2.04
WR
Germie Bernard
Alabama
33
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Allen Robinson, Michael Pittman Jr
Busts:
Jonathan Mingo, Jalin Hyatt, Skyy Moore +1
6
WRs drafted 2.01-2.06
2
became starters
4
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
High Risk
Most WRs drafted here have failed.
NFL bloodlines, upside
2.05
TE
Max Klare
Ohio State
0
%
HIT RATE
Busts:
Hayden Hurst
1
TEs drafted 2.01-2.06
0
became starters
1
busted
Who Busted at This Range
Historically Poor
Very few TEs succeed at this draft range.
TE2, athletic with upside
2.06
WR
Chris Bell
Louisville
33
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Allen Robinson, Michael Pittman Jr
Busts:
Jonathan Mingo, Jalin Hyatt, Skyy Moore +1
6
WRs drafted 2.01-2.06
2
became starters
4
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
High Risk
Most WRs drafted here have failed.
ACL concern, physical WR
2.07
TE
Eli Stowers
Vanderbilt
100
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Mike Gesicki, Trey McBride
2
TEs drafted 2.07-2.12
2
became starters
0
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting TEs at this range.
TE3, receiving TE with blocking
2.08
QB
Dante Moore
Oregon
100
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Jalen Hurts
1
QBs drafted 2.07-2.12
1
became starters
0
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting QBs at this range.
Former 5-star, quick release
2.09
WR
Michael Trigg
Baylor
50
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Terry McLaurin, Diontae Johnson
Busts:
Kadarius Toney, Laviska Shenault
Dead Zone Warning
WRs drafted here historically hit at only 50%
4
WRs drafted 2.07-2.12
2
became starters
2
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
Moderate Risk
Mixed results. Some hits, but significant bust potential.
TE convert, athletic freak
2.10
WR
Eric Singleton Jr.
Auburn
50
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Terry McLaurin, Diontae Johnson
Busts:
Kadarius Toney, Laviska Shenault
Dead Zone Warning
WRs drafted here historically hit at only 50%
4
WRs drafted 2.07-2.12
2
became starters
2
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
Moderate Risk
Mixed results. Some hits, but significant bust potential.
Speed demon, SEC speed
2.11
RB
Kaytron Allen
Penn State
100
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Rachaad White
Dead Zone Warning
RBs drafted here historically hit at only 100%
1
RBs drafted 2.07-2.12
1
became starters
0
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting RBs at this range.
Short yardage back, goal line
2.12
WR
Antonio Williams
Clemson
50
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Terry McLaurin, Diontae Johnson
Busts:
Kadarius Toney, Laviska Shenault
Dead Zone Warning
WRs drafted here historically hit at only 50%
4
WRs drafted 2.07-2.12
2
became starters
2
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Who Busted at This Range
Moderate Risk
Mixed results. Some hits, but significant bust potential.
Smooth route runner
Round 3
Lottery Tickets
3.01
WR
Elijah Sarratt
Indiana
100
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Tyler Lockett +2
7
WRs drafted 3.01-3.12
7
became starters
0
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting WRs at this range.
Breakout candidate
3.02
WR
Skyler Bell
UConn
100
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Tyler Lockett +2
7
WRs drafted 3.01-3.12
7
became starters
0
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting WRs at this range.
Small school production
3.03
WR
Malachi Fields
Notre Dame
100
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Tyler Lockett +2
7
WRs drafted 3.01-3.12
7
became starters
0
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting WRs at this range.
Big frame, contested catches
3.04
RB
Nick Singleton
Penn State
100
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Jordan Howard
1
RBs drafted 3.01-3.12
1
became starters
0
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting RBs at this range.
Size + speed combo
3.05
RB
Darius Taylor
Minnesota
100
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Jordan Howard
1
RBs drafted 3.01-3.12
1
became starters
0
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting RBs at this range.
Workhorse, receiving ability
3.06
RB
Mike Washington Jr.
Arkansas
100
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Jordan Howard
1
RBs drafted 3.01-3.12
1
became starters
0
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting RBs at this range.
SEC production
3.07
WR
Nic Anderson
LSU
100
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Tyler Lockett +2
7
WRs drafted 3.01-3.12
7
became starters
0
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting WRs at this range.
Big play threat
3.08
WR
Ian Strong
Rutgers
100
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Tyler Lockett +2
7
WRs drafted 3.01-3.12
7
became starters
0
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting WRs at this range.
Small school standout
3.09
WR
Jaden Greathouse
Notre Dame
100
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Tyler Lockett +2
7
WRs drafted 3.01-3.12
7
became starters
0
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting WRs at this range.
Reliable possession WR
3.10
RB
Mark Fletcher Jr.
Miami
100
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Jordan Howard
1
RBs drafted 3.01-3.12
1
became starters
0
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting RBs at this range.
Power back, goal line
3.11
WR
Deion Burks
Oklahoma
100
%
HIT RATE
Hits:
Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Tyler Lockett +2
7
WRs drafted 3.01-3.12
7
became starters
0
busted
Who Hit at This Range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting WRs at this range.
Electric slot, YAC monster
3.12
QB
Ty Simpson
Alabama
100
%
HIT RATE
Limited historical data for QBs at this range
Strong Value
Historical data supports drafting QBs at this range.
Dual-threat, first-round NFL pick